The Asian Development Bank (ADB) forecasts that Tajikistan’s economy will grow by 7.3% in 2026 and 6.8% in 2027, according to its July Asian Development Outlook. The estimates are unchanged from the bank’s April forecast.
Tajikistan’s economy grew by 8.4% in 2025. ADB expects growth to slow gradually while remaining strong. Its economists say a rate of about 7% could be among the highest in the developing world.
Ko Sakamoto, ADB’s country director for Tajikistan, said strong economic growth creates opportunities to accelerate job creation. Developing competitive, high-value industries, including food and textile manufacturing and mineral products, could help generate more quality jobs, he said.
ADB experts identify energy, transport and logistics, industry, and services as four key drivers of growth in Central Asia. The bank supports transport infrastructure projects that it says can reduce logistics costs, boost external trade and attract investment.
Under its new 2026–2030 partnership strategy, ADB plans to invest in Tajikistan’s transport infrastructure, particularly through the Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation program. The plans include road improvements and the development of logistics corridors.
Projects already completed with ADB support include the reconstruction of the Dushanbe–Bokhtar international highway; construction of the Obigarm–Nurobod, Khulbuk–Temurmalik–Kangurt and Bokhtar–Dangara–Guliston roads; and rehabilitation of a 40-kilometre stretch between Okmazor and Bokhtar in Khatlon Region.
ADB plans to provide about $1.1 billion in 2026–2028 to support Tajikistan’s economic and social development, including infrastructure upgrades. Founded in 1966, the bank is owned by 69 countries, 50 of them in the region.
Translated from Tajik using artificial intelligence. Source: Минтранс
